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| Nigerian Real Estate Land and property investments in Nigeria. |
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Ayemco, I told you this would happen. Because, Nigeria is still a developing country. We have not even built 30% of the houses we need. All the forest you see now are estates of the future. They have one advantage, if managed properly by Town Planners, they will develop better than the existing Towns. I see no reason why Lagos to Mowe corridor cannot compete with the Lekki Corridor. Mowe is actually more attractive to people who do not want to waste N5m on Raft Foundation, before they can even start building. Furthermore, Nigerians love living close to prayer centres and camps.
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When others are fearful be greedy. When others are greedy be fearful. Warren Burfett. |
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AbsoluteT, no bubble will burst on the Mowe corridor until such a time when the prices get to a crazy level like Lekki. Personally, by todays' market, i would rather buy a 650sqm plot of land into an estate in Mowe for N1.5m than to buy the same size of land for N5m on the Lekki corridor, because the real cost of Lekki land is not N5m, but N10m after considering the N5m needed to make the land strong enough to build a house. Finally, i heard that Raft Foundation houses are only guarateed for 50 years.
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When others are fearful be greedy. When others are greedy be fearful. Warren Burfett. |
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“The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.” - John Maynard Keynes |
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Probably bk many people now borrow money to buy properties....
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The secret of stock investment lies in the ability of the stock investor to hybridize the growth and value theories of stock analysis-by billions. |
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I hope those borrowing have the resources to repay and are not merely speculating.
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“The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.” - John Maynard Keynes |
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Hispy, this is an interesting question. The answer is simple. Demand for land in this area is high. But, I suspect most of the buyers are speculators. They have no intention of building on the land. They are just buying and holding on to the land to re-sell in the future. Its crazy but you cannot legislate against investors behaving badly.
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When others are fearful be greedy. When others are greedy be fearful. Warren Burfett. |
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What is being done is perfectly legal. But, guess what? its partly the reason for the current credit crunch. Real estate becomes too expensive and becomes a bussiness for some rather than a necessity of life which shelter is. Finally, if speculators buy most of the land and hold on to them. We may then have a situation of the new Towns remaining bushes for a long time. They will not develop the land, and those willing to develop will not be able to buy, because of the crazy prices.
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When others are fearful be greedy. When others are greedy be fearful. Warren Burfett. |
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Property prices rise 150% despite stock market meltdown
Tuesday, 04 November 2008 00:50 BLESSING ANARO & CHUKA UROKO Elsewhere, the strength of a country’s stock market mirrors the state of its economy. But for Nigeria, this may just be a theoretical statement as developments in the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) are yet to impact on the prices of properties. While market analysts expect property prices to come down in response to falling share prices, BusinessDay investigations revealed that on the contrary, property prices are rather increasing. Emmanuel Abolo, chief economist/head market risk management, Access Bank plc, agree that there is a correlation between the stock market and other sectors of the economy. His position on if falling share prices should affect property prices is that there is likely going to be a time lag before any impact will be felt on the property market. For instance, in November last year, Refuge Home Savings and Loans (mortgage bankers), as part of its property development drive, launched what it called “Beaufort Royale 2 Estate” in Mowe, a residential estate with a home-plan for developments of 2 and 3-bedroom detached bungalows with spacious rooms. Each of these will be sitting on a standard plot of land measuring 324 square metres, large enough to accommodate four cars and a garden at the back. From the date of launching up to January-February this year, each of the 324 square-metre plot was selling for N350,000. Today, the same plot of land goes for N900,000 representing over 100 percent increase. Similarly, at Twin City Phase One, developed by Cross and Churchhill Realtors Limited, an integrated real estate company, a plot of land was sold for N250,000 when it was launched in October last year. From this price, it went for N375,000 when the second phase of the estate was launched in January this year. When the company came up with another juicy mega estate project known as Green Oak Park, a fully serviced estate with properly laid out plots in a secured and gated environment, the price jumped to N550,000 with the prospects of moving it up to N660,000 by November and N750,000 by December. This is in spite of the fact that the stock market lost about N4 trillion to the ravaging forces of demand and supply. But the property market remain the most active at the moment, with some saying it is even expected to gain from expected investment shifts that will see savvy investors moving cash to areas with high dividend potentials. Managing director and chief executive officer of Union Homes Savings and Loans plc, Austin Ekundayo Aikhorin, told BusinessDay that in the circumstance, “the next best investment alternative is the property market; it is the way to go.” Aikhorin hoped that the property market would take an upturn because of the melt down that would sway investment in that direction. He added that movement of oil workers away from the insecurity in the troubled Niger Delta region was sure to buoy up activities in the property sector. Ifeanyi Onuorah of the Springmortgage Bank agrees with the Union Homes’ boss, pointing out however, that “people are not going to move their cash from the stock market to the property market because losses have already been made.” Onuorah who is the managing director and chief executive officer of the bank added that “people who have money for investment would rather go to the property market.” On whether the melt down has any spiral effect on mortgage, Aikhorin disclosed that credit underwriting was still very low, adding that very few people were being financed by mortgages. From global perspective, he said Nigeria was the least likely to be affected by the global stock price crash, explaining that “because of the magnitude of the housing stock deficit we have in Nigeria, it will take a while before property development here will begin to feel the impact of the global recession.” He dismissed direct impact of the recession on mortgage financing, pointing out however that indirectly, it might have little impact by constraining funds availability for mortgage financing.
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“The market can remain irrational longer than you can remain solvent.” - John Maynard Keynes Last edited by hispy99 : 4th November 2008 at 07:16 AM. |
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When others are fearful be greedy. When others are greedy be fearful. Warren Burfett. |
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Someone wrote earlier about the domino effect of folks "banking" land for investment. There is truly nothing wrong or illegal about this in the same way that there was nothing wrong or illegal with some of the financial arrangements that has brought Lehman Brothers and Bear Sterns to its knees!!! Part of the problem in this as well as in Nigeria is that there is little government regulation so speculation is allowed to go unfettered. For example, a Government scheme is supposed to be a safer place to invest. But what makes these so called estates boom is the amount of traffic that goes through it. If every land owner simply bought, held on and then sold on every two years, the place will remain just a bush. You will then have a handful of folks who will build one fine house, surrounded by- you guessed it - bush.
I understand that Gov. Fashola has given some land owners in Isheri North an ultimatum to start developing their land or get refunded what they paid for it. Whether this will work or not is another issue as such people may be able to bribe their way out of repossession. In the UK, housing developers were accused in some circles of banking land or new build properties thereby creating an artificial glut or demand. this was about a year or two ago. Now, most mortgage lenders WILL NOT touch new build properties because they automatically believe that it has been overvalued from day one. I suppose that the difference in Nigeria is that there is such a shortage of accommodation that developers and investors will yet get away with murder. I just hope that Gov. Fashola's threat will be enforced otherwise a lot of these estates will just be ghost towns for years to come making the existing urban centers increasingly congested. |
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