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  #10521 (permalink)  
Old 29th March 2014, 03:42 PM
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Default Re: Economicwatch

Quote:
Originally Posted by Django View Post
Pe re? Just that one? No major tweak despite the hyper-noise of the analysts... Expect mkt to react positively...
Ha! Private sector CRR from 12% to 15% is just that?

Check this out. If Public sector CRR was increased from 75% to 100%, Nigerian banks would have been debited by 400 billion naira. With the rise in Private sector CRR, guess how much banks would be debited with? 700 billion naira.

That increase is NOT just that.
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  #10522 (permalink)  
Old 29th March 2014, 07:46 PM
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Default Re: Economicwatch

Quote:
Originally Posted by Salida View Post
S&P Rates Nigeria's Sovereign Credit Outlook Negative, Articles | THISDAY LIVE

Sir Shams_dos, SLS is history no doubt about that, but a bad precedence has been set for an institution that is supposed to be independent all because of politics.
The S&P has just confirmed that they are not that optimistic about our economy based on the political climate in the country.
Iam a bit confused here. Was it the independent institution that was suspended or the head of the independent institution that was suspended?. If an institution is independent, does it mean that the head of such an institution does not report to anybody?.

The Judiciary is independent but it is the President that appoints the Chief Judge.
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  #10523 (permalink)  
Old 29th March 2014, 09:44 PM
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Default Re: Economicwatch

Quote:
Originally Posted by netotse View Post
@My Ogas

I need your help o, there is one issue that is confusing me here,

there was a decrease of 49%(6.7 in 2013 and 13.3 in 2012) in inflation, All Items Less Farm Produce and Energy (12 Months Avg. Change) between December 2013 and December 2012. I'd like to understand what could have caused it, esp since it doesn't consider agric and fuel prices.

I would be glad if someone could point me in the right direction, na beg I dey beg o...

there is a cost escalation that depends on the values and the drastic drop is causing a number of people to doubt our figures.
When calculating inflation numbers, Economist usually use a basket of goods which a typical household will use in a period. To avoid the effects of highly volatile products from misrepresenting the inflations numbers, Economist try to differentiate between Headline Inflation (which is the number you usually hear been announced) and Core Inflation (which excludes goods with volatile and sometimes seasonal price changes like Food and Energy). Core inflation is more useful to Economist because it tends to show the long term trend of inflation. However, because of our level of poverty (which means most Nigerians spend a high percentage of their income on food and energy), the distinction between core and headline inflation is not always very useful.

I hope the above helps you in understanding the issue.

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Core_inflation
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  #10524 (permalink)  
Old 29th March 2014, 09:46 PM
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Default Re: Economicwatch

Quote:
Originally Posted by knightofdelta View Post
Ha! Private sector CRR from 12% to 15% is just that?

Check this out. If Public sector CRR was increased from 75% to 100%, Nigerian banks would have been debited by 400 billion naira. With the rise in Private sector CRR, guess how much banks would be debited with? 700 billion naira.

That increase is NOT just that.
Don't mind me, Oga mii! It was just a knee-jerk reaction. With the hues and cries re. devaluation, folks were expecting a big-bang reaction from CBN, not the bland reaction we witnessed... Later when I saw the quantum of funds that would be sterilized as a result, I said shoo! Better if they had done the 100% CRR public sector funds instead, but I guess they had to do a balancing act re. politics and the potential backlash...
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  #10525 (permalink)  
Old 30th March 2014, 06:41 AM
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Default Re: Economicwatch

Quote:
Originally Posted by laso View Post
comparing emefiele with either soludo or sanusi is like comparing apple with orange. Soludo and sanusi definitely had thier own shortcomings but u cant fault them on brillance and their ability to convice others.yestaday, Emefiele fell my hand big time!
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No doubt! At this present time, the govt does not need any maverick @ CBN, just a steady hand, that NOI can influence...
There goes the supposedly independence of an institution... A steady hand that NOI can influence?:sigh:
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  #10526 (permalink)  
Old 30th March 2014, 06:52 AM
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Default Re: Economicwatch

Chinese slowdown a net negative for Nigeria says O’Neill | BusinessDay
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  #10527 (permalink)  
Old 30th March 2014, 11:43 AM
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Default Re: Economicwatch

Kenya T-bill yields may fall, Nigeria yields to rise | BusinessDay
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  #10528 (permalink)  
Old 30th March 2014, 03:56 PM
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Default Re: Economicwatch

Quote:
Originally Posted by Waves View Post
I watched the confirmation hearing of the CBN Governor nominee, Godwin Emeliefe today. My conclusion is that he is the wrong man for the job. Godwin is simply a banker with very limited understanding of Economics. Several times the Senators asked him questions on Political Economics and he could not provide satisfactory answers. At least 5 Senators kept on returning him to the question on Nigeria's Jobless GDP growth and he neither showed an understanding of the issue talk less of providing answers. Even on the question of the wide spread between deposit rates and lending rates, the man provided very shallow answers.

My conclusion is that Godwin, like most other Zenith Bankers I know, is very shallow. I used to think Adoara's lack of depth was an exception but I now believe otherwise. I don't believe we have the best man for the job

On outlook for Monetary policy under Godwin, I think it is better to look to other MPC members or the govt.
Emeliele : We Will Provide A Sound Financial System
Presentation at the senate...
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  #10529 (permalink)  
Old 31st March 2014, 09:47 AM
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Default Re: Economicwatch

Quote:
Originally Posted by horlads View Post
You inquiry appears to be without the much needed clarity to anwser it properly but I will try to take a stab at it...

The numbers you quoted does not mean that there was a drop in aggregate prices of 'All Items Less Farm Produce and Energy'. What it implies is that there was a 'slower increase' in aggregate prices between December 2013 & December 2012 on one hand and December 2012 & December 2011 on the other hand...

Let me know if I understood your question. If not, kindly elaborate further...
Quote:
Originally Posted by Waves View Post
When calculating inflation numbers, Economist usually use a basket of goods which a typical household will use in a period. To avoid the effects of highly volatile products from misrepresenting the inflations numbers, Economist try to differentiate between Headline Inflation (which is the number you usually hear been announced) and Core Inflation (which excludes goods with volatile and sometimes seasonal price changes like Food and Energy). Core inflation is more useful to Economist because it tends to show the long term trend of inflation. However, because of our level of poverty (which means most Nigerians spend a high percentage of their income on food and energy), the distinction between core and headline inflation is not always very useful.

I hope the above helps you in understanding the issue.

Core inflation - Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Oga Horlads and Oga Waves

Thanks for the responses, I'm a bit clearer. let me try and be a bit more specific


We have a price that is supposed to be escalated every year and the conditions for the escalation are weighted, 70% in favour of nigerian indices and 30% in favour of european indices so the formula would be something of this sort.

P2014 = P2013 X [70%(Ni2013/Ni2012) + 30%(Ei2013/Ei2012)]

Ei - european index
Ni - Nigerian Index

so the 49% drop wreaked have on the price for 2014.

I'm trying to understand what factors would have lead to such a sharp drop, I checked the previous years and the rates(of increase) were pretty much steady and all of a sudden we go from 13% to 6%. I'd like to be able to link the rate movement to actual happenings if possible. Since energy and food are excluded I'm pretty much in the dark as to what components are used to calculate that index. If my anyone could point me in the right direction I would be grateful.


I know the questions are going to come so I'm trying to prepare beforehand make I no enter one chance.
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  #10530 (permalink)  
Old 31st March 2014, 12:35 PM
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Default Re: Economicwatch

CBN Name 8 Member List of Licensed Custodians - Proshare
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  #10531 (permalink)  
Old 31st March 2014, 09:21 PM
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Default Re: Economicwatch

Forex reserves fall to $37.8 billion | BusinessDay
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  #10532 (permalink)  
Old 31st March 2014, 09:35 PM
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Default Re: Economicwatch

Quote:
Originally Posted by Salida View Post
Although this caption is a fact, it is quite misleading. FX reserves have actually stopped falling since the last MPC meeting. One of the reasons the MPC gave for not shifting the band is that there is a seasonal effect in our FX reserve trend. May be they are right.

Central Bank of Nigeria | Movement in Foreign Reserves | Up to 3/31/2014 1:24:17 PM
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  #10533 (permalink)  
Old 31st March 2014, 10:11 PM
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Default Re: Economicwatch

Quote:
Originally Posted by Salida View Post
I'm sure Nigeria is the only country where we follow forex reserve like we are following our personal bank accounts
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  #10534 (permalink)  
Old 31st March 2014, 11:23 PM
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Default Re: Economicwatch

Nigeria is on the rise, don’t talk it down – Okonjo-Iweala | BusinessDay
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  #10535 (permalink)  
Old 31st March 2014, 11:33 PM
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Default Re: Economicwatch

“I don’t care about portfolio flows, I’m interested in FDI (foreign direct investment),” said Okonjo-Iweala, adding that Nigeria was much less dependent on portfolio flows for its financial stability than other emerging market economies. “We are not like South Africa or Turkey or any of these countries”.
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  #10536 (permalink)  
Old 1st April 2014, 10:01 AM
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Default Re: Economicwatch

Quote:
Originally Posted by Salida View Post
There goes the supposedly independence of an institution... A steady hand that NOI can influence?:sigh:
More like, loyal disposition of CBN Guv to GEJ & NOI, whilst he exudes an aura of independence in public
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  #10537 (permalink)  
Old 1st April 2014, 11:40 AM
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Default Re: Economicwatch

Quote:
Originally Posted by Django View Post
More like, loyal disposition of CBN Guv to GEJ & NOI, whilst he exudes an aura of independence in public
are you sure Ovia should not be on the list?
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  #10538 (permalink)  
Old 1st April 2014, 02:27 PM
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Default Re: Economicwatch

Quote:
Originally Posted by netotse View Post
are you sure Ovia should not be on the list?
That would be his primary loyalty, no doubt! Ovia transformed him from lecturer to MD and you know, in this town, one tends to be slavishly loyal to the person who single-handedly empowers and then transforms one's fortune "overnight-ly"
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  #10539 (permalink)  
Old 1st April 2014, 07:03 PM
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Default Re: Economicwatch

Investors to pump $2.6bn into Nigeria's sugar industry | BusinessDay
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  #10540 (permalink)  
Old 2nd April 2014, 03:36 AM
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Default Re: Economicwatch

Health contribution to Nigeria's GDP put at 5 percent | BusinessDay
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